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Trading Algorithm Navigation Using a Mixture Distribution Risk Model

By Andrew Milne, Anish R. Verma, Phil Goddard, & Clemens Adolphs

The CME Market Sentiment Meter (MSM) provides a daily risk–return estimate for eight products traded on CME Group exchanges: corn (C), crude oil (CL), euro/USD FX (EC), S&P 500 index e-minis (ES), gold (GC), natural gas (NG), soybeans (S), and 10-year treasury notes (TYF). The Market Sentiment Meter is computed by 1QBit using end-of-day settlement data published by CME Group. It is available as a subscription product through CME DataMine…

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Looking into the Future(s) with Options

Looking into the Future(s) with Options

When deciding to buy, sell, or hold a particular investment, it can be tempting to simply look at the spot price or volume data and go from there. For those not acquainted with these terms, the spot price of an asset is the current price in the marketplace at which it can be bought or sold for immediate delivery. Volume data quantifies the number of shares traded and, for futures and options, it reveals how many contracts have changed hands.

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How Gold and Crude Oil Are Affecting FX Rates During COVID-19

How Gold and Crude Oil Are Affecting FX Rates During COVID-19

The idea of making money by exchanging one type of currency with another is well-known. Many Canadians remember a time or two when the Canadian dollar was on par with, or even worth more than, the US dollar, such as in 2007. Canadians revelled at the lower cost of goods south of the border. At the same time, people expected the US dollar to rise in value again, so many held onto their US currency in order to sell it later. Events like these are rare between established countries, and returns are typically low for foreign exchange (FX).

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Is Bitcoin Pushing Out Gold?

Is Bitcoin Pushing Out Gold?

The price of bitcoin has almost doubled since the beginning of the year, while gold has fallen by almost 15%. Cryptocurrency has emerged as a competitor to gold as a hedge against inflation, that is, a protection against depreciation. Gold is often used as such a hedge: when the US dollar loses value due to inflation, the price of gold tends to increase.

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Make More Money in Options Trading

Make More Money in Options Trading

Options contracts are more popular than ever, with more options contracts traded last year than any other year in history.1 With people spending more time at home due to the COVID-19 pandemic, many are turning to trading and investing their new surplus of time and money. Brokers have eliminated previous barriers in options trading with smaller fees, increased usability, and the elimination of required minimum account balances to trade options.

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Andrew Milne, from Physics to Fintech

Andrew Milne, from Physics to Fintech

Andrew Milne immigrated from England to Canada as a child. He grew up partly in Toronto and partly in Vancouver. He began his studies in Computing Science at Simon Fraser University but later transferred to the University of British Columbia (UBC) to obtain his bachelor’s degree in Electrical Engineering.

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Improve Your Trading Algorithm Profitability

Improve Your Trading Algorithm Profitability

The world is in the wake of the Information Age and computer technology is increasingly improving almost all industries. In finance, for example, algorithmic trading can be more profitable than human trading because of the speed and data processing advantages that computers have over human traders. But not all algorithms are equal. Some perform better than others. In certain cases, there are missed opportunities in which trading decisions could have been navigated from good to better, resulting in greater profit.

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How Will an October Surprise Affect the US Economy?

How Will an October Surprise Affect the US Economy?

The US elections are held on the first Tuesday of November, and campaign-related events are widely covered in the news. These events generally have an impact on various US markets as the winning candidate’s policies and viewpoints are very likely to tangibly affect many aspects of US operations going forward into the candidate’s term.
Events that occur in October can greatly influence the results of the election simply because they happen at a time leading up to an election. The term “October surprise” refers to these types of events.

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Uncovering Hidden Patterns in Gold Prices

Uncovering Hidden Patterns in Gold Prices

It is widely believed that gold prices reveal the overall health of the economy, and will continue to be an integral part of foreign exchange markets. Aside from the usual suspects (i.e., market activity, wealth reserves, or supply and demand), major events involving economic policy tend to affect gold prices.

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